Called on Account of Weather

The bitter winter afflicting much of the Northern Hemisphere is only the start of a global trend towards cooler weather that is likely to last for 20 or 30 years, say some of the world’s most eminent climate scientists.

Their predictions – based on an analysis of natural cycles in water temperatures in the Pacific and Atlantic oceans – challenge some of the global warming orthodoxy’s most deeply cherished beliefs, such as the claim that the North Pole will be free of ice in summer by 2013.

According to the US National Snow and Ice Data Centre in Colorado, Arctic summer sea ice has increased by 409,000 square miles, or 26 per cent, since 2007 – and even the most committed global warming activists do not dispute this.
The scientists’ predictions also undermine the standard climate computer models, which assert that the warming of the Earth since 1900 has been driven solely by man-made greenhouse gas emissions and will continue as long as carbon dioxide levels rise.

They say that their research shows that much of the warming was caused by oceanic cycles when they were in a ‘warm mode’ as opposed to the present ‘cold mode’.

This challenge to the widespread view that the planet is on the brink of an irreversible catastrophe is all the greater because the scientists could never be described as global warming ‘deniers’ or sceptics.

Among the most prominent of the scientists is Professor Mojib Latif, a leading member of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which has been pushing the issue of man-made global warming on to the international political agenda since it was formed 22 years ago.

Prof Latif, who leads a research team at the renowned Leibniz  Institute at Germany’s Kiel University, has developed new methods for measuring ocean temperatures 3,000ft beneath the surface, where the cooling and warming cycles start.

He and his colleagues predicted the new cooling trend in a paper published in 2008 and warned of it again at an IPCC conference in Geneva last September.

Prof Tsonis said that the period from 1915 to 1940 saw a strong warm mode, reflected in rising temperatures.

Last night he told The Mail on Sunday: ‘A significant share of the warming we saw from 1980 to 2000 and at earlier periods in the 20th Century was due to these cycles – perhaps as much as 50 per cent.

‘They have now gone into reverse, so winters like this one will become much more likely. Summers will also probably be cooler, and all this may well last two decades or longer.

‘The extreme retreats that we have seen in glaciers and sea ice will come to a halt. For the time being, global warming has paused, and there may well be some cooling.’

As Europe, Asia and North America froze last week, conventional wisdom insisted that this was merely a ‘blip’ of no long-term significance.

Though record lows were experienced as far south as Cuba, where the daily maximum on beaches normally used for winter bathing was just 4.5C, the BBC assured viewers that the big chill was merely short-term ‘weather’ that had nothing to do with ‘climate’, which was still warming.

The work of Prof Latif and the other scientists refutes that view.

On the one hand, it is true that the current freeze is the product of the ‘Arctic oscillation’ – a weather pattern that sees the development of huge ‘blocking’ areas of high pressure in northern latitudes, driving polar winds far to the south.

Meteorologists say that this is at its strongest for at least 60 years.

However, according to Prof Latif and his colleagues, this in turn relates to much longer-term shifts – what are known as the Pacific and Atlantic ‘multi-decadal oscillations’ (MDOs).

For Europe, the crucial factor here is the temperature of the water in the middle of the North Atlantic, now several degrees below its average when the world was still warming.

But the effects are not confined to the Northern Hemisphere. Prof Anastasios Tsonis, head of the University of Wisconsin Atmospheric Sciences Group, has recently shown that these MDOs move together in a synchronised way across the globe, abruptly flipping the world’s climate from a ‘warm mode’ to a ‘cold mode’ and back again in 20 to 30-year cycles.

‘They amount to massive rearrangements in the dominant patterns of the weather,’ he said yesterday, ‘and their shifts explain all the major changes in world temperatures during the 20th and 21st Centuries.

‘We have such a change now and can therefore expect 20 or 30 years of cooler temperatures.’

But from 1940 until the late Seventies, the last MDO cold-mode era, the world cooled, despite the fact that carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere continued to rise.

Many of the consequences of the recent warm mode were also observed 90 years ago.

For example, in 1922, the Washington Post reported that Greenland’s glaciers were fast disappearing, while Arctic seals were ‘finding the water too hot’.

It interviewed a Captain Martin Ingebrigsten, who had been sailing the eastern Arctic for 54 years: ‘He says that he first noted warmer conditions in 1918, and since that time it has gotten steadily warmer.

‘Where formerly great masses of ice were found, there are now moraines, accumulations of earth and stones. At many points where glaciers formerly extended into the sea they have entirely disappeared.’

As a result, the shoals of fish that used to live in these waters had vanished, while the sea ice beyond the north coast of Spitsbergen in the Arctic Ocean had melted.

Warm Gulf Stream water was still detectable within a few hundred miles of the Pole.
In contrast, Prof Tsonis said, last week 56 per cent of the surface of the United States was covered by snow.

‘That hasn’t happened for several decades,’ he pointed out. ‘It just isn’t true to say this is a blip. We can expect colder winters for quite a while.’

He recalled that towards the end of the last cold mode, the world’s media were preoccupied by fears of freezing.

For example, in 1974, a Time magazine cover story predicted ‘Another Ice Age’, saying: ‘Man may be somewhat responsible – as a result of farming and fuel burning [which is] blocking more and more sunlight from reaching and heating the Earth.’

Prof Tsonis said: ‘Perhaps we will see talk of an ice age again by the early 2030s, just as the MDOs shift once more and temperatures begin to rise.’

Like Prof Latif, Prof Tsonis is not a climate change ‘denier’. There is, he said, a measure of additional ‘background’ warming due to human activity and greenhouse gases that runs across the MDO cycles.

‘This isn’t just a blip. We can expect colder winters for quite a while’

But he added: ‘I do not believe in catastrophe theories. Man-made warming is balanced by the natural cycles, and I do not trust the computer models which state that if CO2 reaches a particular level then temperatures and sea levels will rise by a given amount.

‘These models cannot be trusted to predict the weather for a week, yet they are running them to give readings for 100 years.’

Prof Tsonis said that when he published his work in the highly respected journal Geophysical Research Letters, he was deluged with ‘hate emails’.

He added: ‘People were accusing me of wanting to destroy the climate, yet all I’m interested in is the truth.’

He said he also received hate mail from climate change sceptics, accusing him of not going far enough to attack the theory of man-made warming.

The work of Profs Latif, Tsonis and their teams raises a crucial question: If some of the late 20th Century warming was caused not by carbon dioxide but by MDOs, then how much?

Tsonis did not give a figure; Latif suggested it could be anything between ten and 50 per cent.

Other critics of the warming orthodoxy say the role played by MDOs is even greater.

William Gray, emeritus Professor of Atmospheric Sciences at Colorado State University, said that while he believed there had been some background rise caused by greenhouse gases, the computer models used by advocates of man-made warming had hugely exaggerated their effect.
Dr David Viner stands by his claim that snow will become an ‘increasingly rare event’

Dr David Viner stands by his claim that snow will become an ‘increasingly rare event’

According to Prof Gray, these distort the way the atmosphere works. ‘Most of the rise in temperature from the Seventies to the Nineties was natural,’ he said. ‘Very little was down to CO2 – in my view, as little as five to ten per cent.’

But last week, die-hard warming advocates were refusing to admit that MDOs were having any impact.

In March 2000, Dr David Viner, then a member of the University of East Anglia Climatic Research Unit, the body now being investigated over the notorious ‘Warmergate’ leaked emails, said that within a few years snowfall would become ‘a very rare and exciting event’ in Britain, and that ‘children just aren’t going to know what snow is’.

Now the head of a British Council programme with an annual £10 million budget that raises awareness of global warming among young people abroad, Dr Viner last week said he still stood by that prediction: ‘We’ve had three weeks of relatively cold weather, and that doesn’t change anything.

‘This winter is just a little cooler than average, and I still think that snow will become an increasingly rare event.’

The longer the cold spell lasts, the harder it may be to persuade the public of that assertion. (Dailymail.co.uk)

And now the punchline for Global Warming Religionist out there:
Of course so-called global warming experts claim that the frigid conditions do not disprove global warming. According to Gerald Meehl, an analyst with the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo, “We’ll still have record cold temperatures. We’ll just have fewer of them.”

Badump Bump!

(Oslo) — Global warming may not be responsible for the break-up of ten Antarctic ice shelves.Scientists have dropped sensors through several holes drilled in an eastern Antarctic Ice Shelf and discovered sea water in the area is still around the freezing point.It has not reached higher temperatures that are frequently blamed for crumbling ice shelves on the Antarctic Peninsula.

The discovery is welcome news but adds to the puzzlement of scientists worried about the way the continent may be responding to climate change.

NYTIMES Blog: Dr. Betts (Britain’s Met Office) writes that it’s not enough to blame the media for uncritically reporting such claims: I have quite literally had journalists phone me up during an unusually warm spell of weather and ask “is this a result of global warming?” When I say “No, not really, it is just weather,” they’ve thanked me very much and then phoned somebody else, and kept trying until they got someone to say yes it was.

It won’t be, but this should be good news to the climate hysterics: They won’t die of global warming.  More to the point, if there is a problem of man-caused climate change, it gives us much more time to accommodate our energy and other industries to a cleaner approach without a wrenching economic dislocation.  Best of all, we don’t need global oligarchy governing us to stop a purported global warming apocalypse.  And that, my friends, is why this news–if it pans out–could be very unwelcome among certain quarters of the Copenhagen Crowd.(First Things).
I guess Lord Doom himself, Al Gore, who invented the Internet you know, and then helped Invent Global Warming, will have to skulk off and try to come up with a new scheme.
Nah, the Global Warming Religionists won’t go that quietly.
Climate change is real and has occurred on this planet for 4 billion years and will continue again for another 5 billion years until our sun burns out and turns into a red dwarf and swallows the inner  planets.
But at least right now we can hit them with a snowball when they talk about how man is destroying the earth.

Also see: http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2010/01/what_is_it_that_global_warming.html

Hide the Truth! Beware the Leopard!

As the Mainstream Media works feverishly to ignore the fraud of Global Warming because the greatness of  “Hope and Change” in Copenhagen is coming…

Amid all this junk science, Coca-Cola has another campaign under way and, with other corporate biggies like Siemens and SAP, the software giant, has created an Internet campaign and Web site, Hopenhagen.com, designed to enlist support for a climate deal to be reached in the very cold city of Copenhagen in December.

A petition on the site urges support for “developing countries’ adaptation efforts and secure climate justice for all.” It’s based on the theory that Western nations, particularly the U.S., owe the world a “climate debt” for starting the Industrial Revolution and plundering the world’s fossil fuels in the name of unbridled capitalism.

“The world needs a Green New Deal,” declares a pocket guide to Hopenhagen’s goals put out by the World Wide Fund for Nature, the group with the cuddly panda as its icon. That deal involves a global climate change fund into which rich countries pour money for “green” improvements in poorer nations.

The WWF guide says the Green New Deal “will be based on the polluter-pays principle, on the historically high emissions of developed nations and on the capacity of the rich nations to help the poor. And we will all benefit from this North/South ‘burden sharing.'” To us, this sounds like the old Marxist principle of to each according to his need, from each according to his ability, with a guilty conscience thrown in for good measure.(IBD)

From the “News” section of Hopenhagen.com:

Farmers who cut and burn trees in Brazil’s part of the Amazon River Basin cause less environmental destruction, than rich Western nations have done in the past, the Brazilian President says.

So the slash and burn of the Amazon Rain Forest that the environmentalists have been screaming about for decades is nothing compared to the Global Warming cause by Greedy Rich Western Nations. 🙂

If you follow the link it goes, unsurprisingly to the Copenhagen UN Global Warming website:

Brazil’s president said Thursday that “gringos” should pay Amazon nations to prevent deforestation, insisting that rich Western nations have caused much more past environmental destruction than the loggers and farmers who cut and burn trees in the world’s largest tropical rain forest.

President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva made the comments just before an Amazon summit in which delegates signed a declaration calling for financial help from the industrial world to halt the deforestation that causes global warming.

“I don’t want any gringo asking us to let an Amazon resident die of hunger under a tree,” Silva said. “We want to preserve, but they will have to pay the price for this preservation because we never destroyed our forest like they mowed theirs down a century ago.”

In Brazil, the word “gringo” does not only mean American, but generally refers to anyone from the northern hemisphere.

This would be the same President who just met with Iran‘s Dictator-in-Chief Ahmadinejad was scheduled to sign trade deals with President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva before visiting Congress and speaking at a university in Brasilia.

He also said the two nations believe that the international order should be revised.(Tehran Times)

So fork it over America, you greedy pigs!

IBD: Average Joe noticed how Al Gore and other Democratic politicians were quick to capitalize on the matter, even before the scientific community could speak with a unified voice on the issue.

He figured out, correctly, that politics rather than science was the force that put global warming on the front pages of the newspapers and on television every night.

And that the religion of  “the consensus” continues.

“The Consensus” doesn’t want to hear anything that endangers it.

And “The Consensus” can be very partisan.

Liberal Think Tank Environmentalist to the Stars (like Al Gore), Joe Romm:

It will be no surprise to learn the central point of their essay, ironically titled “Dangerous Assumptions” is “Enormous advances in energy technology will be needed to stabilize atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations at acceptable levels,” which is otherwise known as the technology trap or the standard “Technology, technology, blah, blah, blah” delayer message developed by Frank Luntz and perfected by Bush/Lomborg/Gingrich.

In other words, the Nature article was not what it claimed to be. It wasn’t an analysis suggesting that the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change should revisit its assumptions about decarbonization. It wasn’t an argument for stronger technology policies. No, it was a devious Republican message – one designed by Republican pollster Frank Luntz during the Bush years – to delay action. (globalwarmingheartland.com)

Do you get the impression I do,that if you’re a liberal,  if you’re toaster burns your toast in the morning it was because it was made by a Republican just to piss them off! 🙂

Everything is political.

And thus, if the Truth is truly Inconvenient it must be hidden.

In The Hitchhikers Guide to the Galaxy, Arthur Dent asks why the his house must be destroyed for a bypass only to find out that the plans for this were posted:

Arthur: “Oh yes, well, as soon as I heard I went straight round to see them, yesterday afternoon. You hadn’t exactly gone out of your way to call attention to them, had you? I mean, like actually telling anybody or anything.”

“But the plans were on display…”

“On display? I eventually had to go down to the cellar to find them.”

“That’s the display department.”

“With a flashlight.”

“Ah, well, the lights had probably gone.”

“So had the stairs.”

“But look, you found the notice, didn’t you?”

“Yes,” said Arthur, “yes I did. It was on display on the bottom of a locked filing cabinet stuck in a disused lavatory with a sign on the door saying ‘Beware of the Leopard.’”

So, no it’s time to brave the Leopard and see for yourself about the Bypass being built on your backs in Copenhagen.

Good Article: http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/jamesdelingpole/100017977/climategate-the-scandal-spreads-the-plot-thickens-the-shame-deepens/

And then, one is left to wonder why they felt the need to rig the game in the first place, if their science is as robust as they claim. If there’s an innocent explanation for that, we’d love to hear it.

But I fear, it’s just more burnt toast.

Brave the Leopard!

Greatest Turkey in Modern History

Happy Thanksgiving.

While the Mainstream press is obsessed to distraction with the couple who crashed Obama’s Hollywood style State Dinner…

I move  on to the star of the show, the turkey.

Over at RealClimate.org, Gavin Schmidt, a modeler for the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, has been downplaying the leak. Schmidt wrote: “There is no evidence of any worldwide conspiracy, no mention of George Soros nefariously funding climate research … no admission that global warming is a hoax, no evidence of the falsifying of data, and no ‘marching orders’ from our socialist/communist/vegetarian overlords.”

Now doesn’t this sound like your typical liberal caught with his fingers in the cookie jar. Snarky, snotty, and over-the-top dismissive. And what an interesting mention of George Soros, the Billionaire Socialist behind Moveon.org.

Fascinating. Like it came from a scripted playbook…

Yesterday, Professor Jones (Climatic Research Unit) refused to quit and denied that researchers had altered evidence to bolster the case for man-made climate change.

He added: ‘We absolutely stand by the science we produce here at the University of East Anglia and it has been peer reviewed and published.

‘Some of the emails probably had poorly chosen words and were sent in the heat of the moment, when I was frustrated. I do regret sending some of them. We’ve not deleted any emails or data here at CRU.

‘I would never manipulate the data one bit  –  I would categorically deny that.’

Me think he dost protest too much!

Jan 126,1998: Now, I have to go back to work on my State of the Union speech. And I worked on it until pretty late last night. But I want to say one thing to the American people. I want you to listen to me. I’m going to say this again: I did not have sexual relations with that woman, Miss Lewinsky. I never told anybody to lie, not a single time; never. These allegations are false. And I need to go back to work for the American people. Thank you.- Pres. Bill Clinton

Yeah, we believed you Bill. 🙂

But yet again, a president doesn’t care, Politics and Agenda full steam ahead, damn the torpedoes!

Washington Post: The administration’s decision to identify a series of goals, including cutting emissions over the next decade “in the range of” 17 percent below 2005 levels, is a calculated risk, given that Congress has never set mandatory limits on greenhouse gases.

The figure amounts to a 5.5 percent cut below the 1990 levels that most countries use as a reference point, much less than what most other nations have called for. It is also less than what President Bill Clinton endorsed in the Kyoto talks in 1997 and well below the 25 to 40 percent cut that the European Union has asked of industrialized countries.

Richard Somerville of Scripps Institution of Oceanography; Michael Mann of Penn State; and Eric Steig of University of Washington – said that last week’s leaked emails controversy was apparently a part of a “smear campaign,” attempting to wreck the climate summit in Copenhagen next month.

Sounding Familiar yet? 🙂

Mann said: “What they’ve done is search through stolen personal emails—confidential between colleagues who often speak in a language they understand and is often foreign to the outside world.” He further added that the skeptics had largely turned “something innocent into something nefarious.”

So what language is that sir, Esperanto?

Classic attempt at diminishing the damage.

UK Telegraph: Met Office scientists called for urgent action on global warming and dismissed calls for a public inquiry into emails which suggest a conspiracy among international scientists to falsify data.

Although final figures will not be known until January, 2009 is likely to be the fifth hottest year on record, reversing a brief three-year “cold snap” caused by natural temperature fluctuations, they said.

So why aren’t the hotter temperatures, a “natural variation”?? 🙂

Because, then the whole farce would be exposed. So only “cold” is a natural variation. Of Course, in 1975 “Global Cooling” was going to kill us all. So I so man has changed a lot in 35 years!

Temperatures over the next decade will be even higher, Met Office models predict.

But not a “natural variation”…

The organisation estimates that in half of the next 10 years average temperatures will be higher than those seen in 1998, the warmest year on record.

Half?! Oh my GOD!  It’s a Crisis! Save the Women and Children!

Some up, some “variation”, but were all doomed if we don’t do something drastic right now!

It’s a Crisis!

The Sky is Falling!

OH NO!

🙂

“It does seem that people are going to extraordinary lengths to discredit the data that shows that global warming is happening and that it is man-made.”-Dr Vicky Pope, head of climate change advice at the Met Office Hadley Centre.

Yeah, were using your OWN WORDS! 🙂

Or maybe that’s just a “variation”…

Now that’s just evil. 🙂

In one of the emails Prof Phil Jones, director of the unit, refers to a “trick” he used with raw data to “hide the decline” in global temperatures.

Last night he accused those who leaked the emails of a “concerted attempt to put a question mark over the science of climate change in the run up to the Copenhagen talks”.

Really? 🙂

Well, The President is off to Copenhagen again, hopefully he’ll be a successful as he as the last time he was there, when he came in last place for the Olympic bid for his boys in the hood in Chicago.

We can only Hope. 🙂